4/11/14

Morning Report – 4-11-14 – System Projected MLB Starters, Relief Goose Eggs, Cameron-Chat, Error Dudes, Astros TV

1923 Yankees Stadium


Coming Up –

         11am – Ernest Dove - Bartolo Colon.......Gettin Jiggly With It.

          2pm  -  John Sickles – Top 20 Prospects – Philadelphia Phillies

         5pm -  Grant Holmes, Kyle Schwarber, Chris Oliver, Bradley Zimmer, Carl Chester

         8pm – OF - Dylan Davis - Oregon State



Okay... three series down and the record is 2-1. Trust me, you win 80% of the series and you are in the playoffs (remember, most of them will be against divisional rivals in the second half of the season).

My 'score some runs' theory seemed to have worked here (sic)... it was nice to see a couple of the bats begin to wake up, though Curtis Granderson was completely lost both with a glove on his hand or a bat on his shoulder. One thing I can guarantee you... he'll have a wonderful, smiling interview with beat reporters. This sure is beginning to look like another Jason Bay, isn't it?

I felt sorry for Jenrry Mejia. Let Grandy catch that ball he lost in the lights and you wonder if the go ahead home run is ever hit that inning.

The really good news is what the ageless bullpen has become... Germen, Torres, Farnsworth, and Valverde are da bomb. 

Now comes a rough day. The Mets plane landed in LA around 6am, then an hour bus ride to their hotel, a nap, and then off to the field for the nigh game. You would think a little more effort would be made to build in a day off before a trip out to the west coast.

What do we want now?

Well, a series win against LAA and a series win by Atlanta against Washington wouldn't hurt?



Kevin Kernan of the New York Post[i] is really off and running on a series of anti-Mets management articles. Normally, I don’t like the beat guys to harp on one subject, but maybe the only chance we as followers will ever get a better team is to keep the public pressure up. No one is respected more on the beat that Kevin. Good work here.


A nice article on Sand Gnats RP Akeel Morris[ii]

The 21-year old has had his ups (2013 Brooklyn: 4-1, 1.00) and downs (2012 Kingsport: 0-6, 7.98), but he’s always been a strikeout machine… 210-K in 161.1-IP



System Projected MLB Starters

Below is the list of minor league Mets starters that internal members of the Mets brain trust, outside baseball pundits, and scouts have deemed capable of someday pitching at the major league level in a rotation capacity.

As we have learned in the past, these lists are flawed and, as it is going on right now, others in the system actually are pitchering better than some of these guys. Still, ask the experts and these are the guys to keep an eye on.

(In addition, guys like Dominic Tapia are missing from this list because he projects out as a future reliever. Don’t shoot the messenger. I’m just passing on what the ‘experts’ say.)

One caveat… the Mets are running out of “A” rated starters (using the John Sickles rating system). Only Noah Syndergaard and Rafael Montero fall into that category right now. Steven Matz is an ‘A-‘ and the rest are various ‘B’ prospects.       

AAA:

Noah Syndergaard –   1-1   4.09   1.36   11.0-IP   7-K   3-BB
Rafael Montero –      1-0   2.45   1.00   11.0-IP  14-K   1-BB      
Jake deGrom -          0-0   0.00   0.67    6.0-IP     6-K   1-BB

AA:

Darin Gorski –           0-1   2.45 1.91    3.2-IP    2-K   3-BB
Rainy Lara –              1-0   5.06 1.69    5.1-IP    3-K   1-BB
Tyler Pill -                0-1   6.75   2.25   4.0-IP    0-K   3-BB

A+:

Steven Matz –           0-1   3.60 1.60   5.0-IP     5-K   1-BB
Michael Fulmer –       0-1  17.18 3.00   3.2-IP     4-K   0-BB
Gariel Ynoa -            1-0   3.38 1.69   5.1-IP     1-K   1-BB

A:

Chris Flexen –           0-1   9.34 1.71   4.2-IP     3-K   3-BB
Robert Whelan –       DNP
Miller Diaz –              DNP
Robert Gsellman -     0-1   3.38 2.25   5.1-IP     5-K   2-BB

It’s obvious that the crème of the crop could have gotten off to a better start this season. It’s also ironic about how much everyone says that pitching in the PCL is such a nightmare, but it seems just fine for both Montero and deGrom.

The sample here is far too small and this is broken out for entertainment purposes only. We’ll do this probably on a bi-weekly basis until each pitcher builds up an 8-10 start stat line. That’s when you usually start seeing some movement in the system.

Relief Goose Eggs

More fun early stats for entertainment purposes only.

Here’s the pen dudes, through 4-19, that haven’t given up an earned run so far this season:

A+ - Randy Fontanez -       5.0-IP       6-K   0-BB
A -    Akeel Morris -           4.0-IP      11-K   2-BB
A -    Robert Coles -          4.0-IP       7-K   1-BB
A – Dario Alvarez -            4.0-IP       5-K   2-BB
AA – Cody Satterrwhite -   3.2-IP       5-K   5-BB
A+ - Brett Mitchell -         3.2-IP       3-K   2-BB
AAA – Giancarlo Alvarado -  2.2-IP       3-K 2-BB
AA – Adam Kolarek -          2.1-IP       3-K   1-BB
AA – Jon Velasquez -                 2.0-IP       2-K   1-BB
A+ - Paul Seward -            1.1-IP       1-K   0-BB
AAA – Vic Black -               1.0-IP       2-K   2-BB

The two guys to keep your eyes on here are Fontanez and Morris. Morris was a big-time prospect sign out I the island that went belly-up early as a starter; however, he resurrected himself in the pen and he throws blazing, accurate speed.

One more thing… Binghamton’s Hansel Robles is off to an excellent starter in their rotation (0-0, 0.00, 5.0-IP, 8-K, 1-BB), but he is projected to make the conversion to the pen next season.


Cameron-Chat –

Comment From David - if the mets moved duda or Davis who would net back more value?

Dave Cameron: Probably about the same; not much.

        Comment From LaLoosh - The Mets (mess). Discuss.

Dave Cameron: They’re not particularly good, but help is coming. If they finish the year with Montero and Syndergaard in the rotation, that will help a lot.


Lastly, an early look at the error dudes:

        AAA – Cesar Puello - 2
A – Dominic Smith – 2
        A – Gavin Cecchini – 2
        A – Jeff McNiel – 2
        A+ - Phillip Evans – 2
        A+ - Dilson Herrera – 2

No big shakes here…


Astros TV –

        No one watched the Astros’ loss to the Angels on Monday. No, really. 

According to Nielsen Company ratings, the Astros’ Monday afternoon game against the Angels, aired on Comcast SportsNet Houston, received a 0.0 rating in the Houston area. In other words, not one of the 579 TV set-top meters set up by Nielsen in the city to measure local ratings was tuned to the game, a 9-1 Houston loss. Ratings-wise, the game lost to its own pregame show, which got a 0.2, or roughly 4,600 viewers. Of course, that doesn’t mean that the Astros didn’t have any viewers Monday; CSN Houston reaches 500,000 households in the area, so the odds are that at least one of those TVs was tuned to the game. But it’s still a bad sign for both the team and the network, which is currently in the midst of Chapter 11 bankruptcy. http://mlb.si.com/2014/04/09/houston-astros-get-0-0-television-rating/ 

2 comments:

Tom Brennan said...

Hey, for the error dudes, to error is human...just no errors once you make the Mets, please. We do enough divine forgiveness up here. A few pitchers like Fulmer have sturggled, but those lists are quite awe-inspiring (and voluminous). And let's remember that one shooting star going into 2013 (Luis Mateo) got his TJ surgery last June, before everyone started getting it like the common cold, so one would think he is not too far from returning. And Meisner, for one more.

I hope Granderson busts out and we all say, what were we worried about? But I must say, Ifollow mostly the NL, so when they got Bay, I initially felt good until i looked at his age and K's, and got concerned before he ever played a game, to sign a guy like that to 4 yr/$60MM. With Curtis G, I had 100% deja vu. Let's assume that Curtis avoids concussions and does better.

But let's consider one farm guy - Travis Taijeron - should be in AAA except for OF logjam at AAA. Last year and this one so far, in 433 at bats, 23 HR and an amazing 41 doubles, and hit .285 after an initial 2 for 23 start in AA last year. Yep, also K'd more than once a game. #'s look kind of like - Granderson's, at a fraction of the cost. Not to say he'll ever have Curtis' career (heck Travis may struggle to make majors)...but I think 4 years for Curtis was the height of foolishness. Instead of 4 yr, $60MM, I'd have offered him 2 years, $36MM, take it or leave it. Mets will be eating a year of two of this contract just as they did that of Mr. Baywatch.

IBfromWhitePlains said...

Granderson pretty much missed 2013 and it's his first year in the NL. Bay came in after a very good year and experience in the NL. To me, you gotta give Granderson a couple of months - if he's still struggling then I'll start to worry. In the meantime, he brings a postive energy Bay never brought to the club.