7/5/14

Morning Report – July 5th – Sandy Alderson, Bartolo Colon Daniel Murphy, Jose Ramirez



                                                                                                                
Coming Later Today –    

         12 00 pm - Reese Kaplan Winning Ugly

            2 00 pm  -  Mack  -  'Sandy-Speak'

            4 00 pm  -  BASEBALL AMERICA - Minor League All-Star Team

           6 00 pm - 2015 Draft Profile  -  OF  -  D.J. Stewart  -  Florida State - updated 6-30-14



Juan Lagares over the last calendar year (486 PA's): .267/.310/.377 22 2B 5 HR 3.9 fWAR


Daniel Murphy in the last calendar year (733 PA's): 164 GP .299/.340/.428 15 HR 37 2B 4.6 fWAR


Over the last calendar year, Jon Niese has the 12th best ERA in baseball at 2.93


SP Dillon Gee should be activated sometime today.



RHP Matt Bowman was transferred from Binghamton to Las Vegas 

RHP Cory Mazzoni was transferred from St. Lucie to Binghamton.
, in a proper timely manner.

            Mack - Two big time moves that happened yesterday before game time. Mazzoni's time with St. Lucie was one rehab start and he returns to the team he had 12 starts with last year.

This sets up a Vegas rotation of Noah Syndergaard, Logan Verrett, Darin Gorski, Greg Peavey, and Bowman. I have no idea what they will do with Giancarlo Alvarado or Joel Carreno

Observation - The Mets seem to be promoting their players, especially their pitchers, in a proper timely manner.




Tons of Shortstops –

Ken Rosenthal ‏@Ken_Rosenthal  -  DEAL IS DONE: #Cubs send Samardzija and Hammel to #Athletics for Addison Russell, per sources. May be other players and team(s) involved.

          Mack – You’ll never see the Mets operate this progressive.
Both Samardzija ($5.345mil/ARB-2) and Hammel ($6mil/2014) are not under a 2015 contract with the Cubs so why not?

The interesting this is plethora (I always wanted to use this word) of shortstops already in the Cubs system… Starlin Castro ($60mil through 2020), Javier Baez (Cubs #1 prospect), and Arismendy Alcantara  (AAA: .311, 10-HR, 41-RBI).

Where the hell are you going to play the top SS prospect (Russell) in baseball?


The Cubs have got to have a plan to spin one of these guys.





Mike Puma – According to club sources, the team will listen to offers for Bartolo Colon and may actively shop the veteran right-hander.

The 41-year-old Colon, who signed a two-year contract worth $20 million last offseason, is 8-6 with a 3.88 ERA in 16 starts for the Mets in 2014. - http://nypost.com/2014/07/03/mets-will-listen-to-colon-offers-as-deadline-nears-sources/

  Mack – The most interesting part of this story is information is beginning to leak out that the Mets will be sellers this month.
$10mil a year is not a big figure for an effective starter, which Colon has been for the majority of the season.

It’s hard to estimate his value. My guess it chances team by team, but we all know what the Mets will look for… a SS, a LFer, and a possible replacement for Daniel Muprhy.

       
Sandy Alderson got in front of a microphone again and told us all that he feels the Mets are a better team than the one currently out there on the field. Why does he think he needs to justify his position all the time and not take any blame for what is (or isn’t) happening with this team? The win-loss record is no better that it was last season and, while we’re throwing daggers, the team has never finished above .500 in his administration. Run differential? Does this replace the win-loss record? I mean, if we have a better run differential than the Braves, can we host the first playoff series? Look Sandy… I know you didn’t sign on for this miserable budget and not everyone you signed in free agency has been a winner, but do us all a favor and stop pontificating about how unlucky this team is. Frankly, the unlucky ones are the ones that remember what this team was like under Frank Cachen.



Mets VP John Ricco on trading Daniel Murphy -

We haven’t specifically talked about Dan recently. He is one of the more valuable guys we have. He leads the league in hits. He’s settled in as one of the best second basemen in the game, certainly offensively, and is a leader on our team. It depends what the return is.”
          Mack – Ricco sounds more like his agent.

Mets fans would go bat shit if Alderson traded for one more low level prospect, but what if a trade for Murphy brought you two legitimate positional players that could step right in at LF and SS. All you have to do is move Wilmer Flores back to 2B and you may just have a better team on the field immediately.

Look, I’m running out of legitimate subjects to write about in the report and Murphy is one of the few top field players on the team. You all know I’d love him to have a long term contract, but, if that’s not possible, I’d rather get this over with and move on here.

He won’t stick around past the 2016 season.



As if things aren’t bad enough, Bobby Parnell, Daniel Murphy, Eric Young, Taylor Teagarden, Dana Eveland, Dillon Gee, Ruben Tejada, Lucas Duda, Jenrry Mejia, and Anthony Recker all are scheduled to go through the process of arbitration in the off season.



We talked Tuesday about Cleveland prospect 2B Jose Ramirez. Fangraphs featured him in their ‘Fringe Five’ feature saying:

Probably because he was absent from the relevant preseason prospect lists and certainly because he’s produced pretty miserable numbers (in a limited sample) at the major-league level this season, Cleveland prospect Jose Ramirez has received little attention of late. Still, his minor-league achievement continues to deserve recognition — insofar, that is, as he’s recorded an exactly level walk-to-strikeout ratio and a not entirely insignificant home-run total over 206 Triple-A plate appearances as a middle infielder who’s also just 21 years old. After losing about two weeks to a hamstring injury, Ramirez returned on Saturday and has compiled a 2:0 walk-to-strikeout ratio over 12 plate appearances since then.


Pitchers who induced the most swings and misses Wed: T. Ross (21), J. deGrom (16), J. Danks (15), C. Young (13), B Peacock (12), H. Ryu (12)



Minor Notes –

The last eight (8) starts by Noah Syndergaard are considered to be ‘non-quality’ starts, leading to heightened concern amongst Mets pitching coaches. Thor hasn’t had a quality start since May 5th (7.0-IP, 1-ER) against Tacoma… we can only assume that, after his third start Thursday (5.0-IP, 1-ER, 1.13) for the GCL Mets, that Logan Taylor is not rehabbing and has gone to the back of the bus in the organization (it makes no sense to be pitching GCL ball at 23/yrs. Old)… Savannah’s Dario Alvarez did not allow a run in June and struck out 30 of the 60 batters he faced, while walking only 2… St. Lucie’s Gavin Cecchini played third base Thursday night for the first time this season… Binghamton is 10-0 in the last 10 Tyler Pill starts… Savannah activated IF/C Nelfi Zapata from the DL...





          

14 comments:

Anonymous said...

My dream is dillon gee for baez or russel.. real ? Can be real ?

Unknown said...

I believe samardzijia has 1 more year of control left?

Tom Brennan said...

Very interesting morning report, Mack.

Mets may be conservative in deals, but the coming spike in Murphy dollars, when they could trade him perhaps for one of those (cheap) SS's and put (cheap) Flores at 2nd has to have their extreme consideration. Just wonder what we really have in Matt Reynolds, who just keeps hitting. He's snuck up on everybody. But a trade of Murphy and perhaps a minor league starter (Bowman?) and another arm for the best SS prospect out there would be intriguing.

I think deGrom's swings and misses show he has real talent. He is not a fringe guy. And he'd be perceived differently if he got support (like Tanaka does) and won 3 or 4 more games. I could see him in 2015 rotation.

My buddy Danny Muno hit a game tying pinch 2 run HR last night. On a Met team that struggles in late and close, a mostly leadoff guy with 80 RBIs in his last equivalent season seems to have a "clutch" gene the Mets lack...so he remains one of my faves to be a future major league utility guy, with Mets or others.

Carreno did a lot of relief before his recent starts. He'd bolster Vegas pen. I'd like to see Leathersich bolster it soon too. Binghamton's run out of room for his K cards.

Good for Bowman and Mazzoni. Bowman's in AAA after just 2 years, starting in June 2012 like Reynolds, so those 2 picks are looking real good.

Last 2 thoughts: why activate Gee if he can't pitch for 4 more days? And with Campbell hitting .340, I hope Wright is not rushing it....make sure you're 100%, David.

Tom Brennan said...

One more thought - I too am surprised that Logan Taylor did his 3rd start in GCL - but all 3 were very good, and his stats since turning pro in 2012 are real strong - more than a K per inning, few walks and good hit levels, ERA below 2.00 as a pro, no HR's surrendered, over 65 innings. Hard to do better except for the lack of innings due to injury. My guess is his next start is for the I Love Lucies. He belongs in the front of the bus, and should be one of the guys they rotate upwards - and fast - if healthy.

Anonymous said...

Yeah Mack. Question how does the 2015 top 10 compare in your mind to previous top 10's in other drafts? Maybe the draft overall.

Mack Ade said...

Anonymous -

top 10 what?

Mack Ade said...

I would like to see the end of trading for a minor league SS prospect this time.... you get Castro and sign up Murphy through 2009 and 3/4 of your infield is put to bed for the rest of the decade - you can then concentrate trading some of your young pitching to fill in your outfield

Robb said...

Castro isnt the answer for the Mets. He's the kind of player that is extremely frustrating. I do think that at the end of the season we might be talking to the Cubs about trading for one of their ss. all three of their ss prospects should be ready for the majors by the all star break next year. which Mac in the offseason is mlb ready.

So for me, Id trade Degrom/Montero & palwecki for Rusell & an A-ball pitcher, in a heartbeat. Remember trades should hurt you. Degrom has proven he can pitch at an mlb level and palwecki is a catching prospect of which there are none. I think Russell is 10 year shortstop and anything outside of Thor potentially is worth getting that. Sure we give them a 3/4 and potentially a starting catcher but we have a catcher and need a shortstop.

Conversely id also trade Murphy to SF for Crick and Williamson.

can i fire the manager too?

David L. Whitman said...

The Cubs A's trade is surprising. Am i the only one who thinks the Cubs kind of sold themselves short in the deal (no pun intended)? 2/5 of you rotation for a fringy starter and two prospects-albeit their top two in Russell and McKinney (20 and 19 respectively). Epstein and Hoyer are rolling the dice here on two high ceiling guys, each of whom are probably 2-3 years away, who may never pan out. Russell has had some injury problems this season. It appears the Cubs will move Baez to OF or 2B, within the next 18 mos. trade Castro and probably Alcantara as well.

The Cubs are certainly loaded with top prospects now-all of them infielders though. They should have an exciting team in 2016. They need to hope Russell pans out and becomes a star or else this trade will be looked at a huge missed opportunity for the Cubs.

Mack Ade said...

I never have a problem trading someone who's contract runs out at the end of the season.

As long as you are willing top pay the rest of the salary, I'll take what I can get.

Still, it amazes me how someone can be negative on a baseball player line Castro.

Tom Brennan said...

Castro is having a pretty great year - a tad better than Ruben Tejada!!

Murphy and Castro would be nothing to sneeze at in the Middle IF

Robb said...

I am not a Castro fan. not because he isnt good, bc he has tons of skills but bc i like guys who play smart baseball when i can. mental mistakes happen they just drive me crazy. id rather trade for andrus.

starlin castro hit 245 last year w a 280 obs. and struck out 129 times to 30 walks, while hes a better player then that, he makes murphy look like a smart baseball player with the stupid stuff he does. he's not really a sandy type player

for 1.5 years of a number 2 and .5 of a 4/5 to get those three prospects, means the cost is pretty high for those prospects.

i also think we should think about trading wheeler to the cubs in the offseason. what does wheeler & palwecki package bring back? russell & alamora?

Steve from Norfolk said...

Robb,

We can't trade Plawecki until we're sure about TDA. Not until the offseason, at the earliest. Catcher is too important a position to roll the dice on.

Sandy's not going to trade Wheeler until he's blown away. That would be like admitting he made a mistake! Besides, it can take a while for a young pitcher to get settled - a couple of years.

Mack Ade said...

Steve and Robb -

we can discuss different players and debate which ones at SS and LF, but the Mets are not going th 'extend' the lineup without giving up one of their quality pitchers like Wheeler. Syndergaard still hasn't done anything

Wheeler can get you a real player not another prospect you have to pray on